By: Nicholas Mark, & Sarah K. Cowan
Published in: Demography (2022) 59 (1): 37–49.
Preventing unplanned or unintended pregnancies continues to be a cornerstone of American reproductive health policy and infrastructure, but the evidence that these pregnancies cause adverse maternal and child outcomes is limited. We test these relationships on recent large-scale data using inverse propensity weights estimated from generalized boosted models. Consistent with prior research, we find that pregnancy timing is related to maternal experience during pregnancy, but not to infant outcomes at birth. In an addition to the literature, we find evidence that pregnancy timing is relevant for a number of maternal outcomes, such as the onset of depression and intimate partner violence, changes in smoking behavior, and receipt of medical care. These findings suggest that policy intended to improve infant welfare by preventing unintended pregnancies has little empirical support, but that policy focused on increasing reproductive autonomy and maternal well-being has the potential to improve outcomes.